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洛阳钼业丨特变电工丨补仓云天化、川恒股份

  • 2026-03-02 10:33:27
洛阳钼业丨特变电工丨补仓云天化、川恒股份
（本文不构成投资建议，仅用于自我记录。）

一、账户表现：

本周账户涨幅0.3%，同期上证指数涨幅-0.45%，跑赢指数0.75%；本月账户涨幅6.49%，同期上证指数涨幅3.35%，跑赢指数3.14%。
现货黄金最高4642.85美元，最终收盘到4595.6美元。现货白银依然大幅波动，收盘在90.07美元。LME铜收盘在12808美元，LME铝收盘在3128美元。总的来说都在高位震荡，黄金向下了几次，都跌不下去（老美感觉快要对老伊动手了，这世道越来越乱，短期不具备跌的条件）。未来伴随着老美降息，国家进一步降准降息，有色易涨难跌。

二、洛阳钼业

洛阳钼业：2025年预计实现归母净利润200-208亿元，同比增长47.8%-53.7%。当前股价24.25元。
总的来看，现在这个价格肯定不算便宜，业绩释放也没有想象中好。但看股价，感觉市场还是认可这个业绩的。对于当前来说，因为买点早，成本低，所以肯定是选择一直持有。如果26年延续25年的金属价格，那么业绩得到进一步释放，估值当然就趋于合理。就算不增长了，能不能成为像神华那样的高分红股票呢。当然如果没有安全垫的话，现在显然不适合加仓。
相对而言，紫金矿业更低估一些。从网上的分析来看，按照26年业绩分析下来，pe大概在16附近。
目前很多人在买铜陵有色。铜陵有色其实持有时间很长，跌倒1.2元的时候都一直持有，在24年换券商账户的时候，清掉集中到了洛阳钼业和紫金矿业，想的就是尽量买龙头。目前是看米拉多二期投产，铜产量增大的逻辑。不过铜陵有色还有很多冶炼产能，没有纯铜股走势好。
铜股暂时都不打算加仓了。

三、特变电工

"十五五"期间（2026-2030年）将投入4万亿元固定资产投资，较"十四五"增长40%，其中特高压直流外送通道投资达1.08万亿元（占比27%），要用于"沙戈荒"风光基地电力外送。该计划将带动年均2000亿元以上的特高压设备需求，为特变电工等龙头企业创造确定性增长空间。
电网设备中常见的：特变电工、国电南瑞、许继电气、平高电气、四方、思源电气等。总的来说板块估值高，不适合红利及捡烟蒂。特变电工从14元启动已经翻倍，目前估值也算不上低估。我也是偶然看到一篇文章说了新疆变压器通过“一带一路”从中亚出口到欧洲，觉得这个出海概念还是很靠谱的。毕竟欧洲去工业化非常严重。中国产品质量也越来越好，就算与西门子、ABB等有一些差距，但架不住价格便宜啊。整个电网设备板块，感觉还是最特变电工估值低一些。目前只持有一点点观察仓，希望仍然有好的价格，在25元以下买到。

四、近期操作

上周卖出了招商轮船、中远海特、恒生互联网ETF。24.37元买入一手中金黄金，24.18元买入一手特变电工，34.53元买入一手云天化，12.41元买入一手芭田股份。
本周卖出了芭田股份，买入一手云天化、一手川恒股份。
卖出芭田股份是因为:磷化工还是想买龙头，更倾向于云天化、川恒股份、兴发集团。兴发集团本周股价都超过了川恒。
家人账号招行的分红，复投了一手招行，一手中金黄金。

五、下一步计划

个人仍然看好黄金。未来会择机加仓黄金股。关注中金黄金。
个人判断有色化工依然大有可为。关注中金黄金、云铝股份、神火股份、川恒股份、云天化、盐湖股份、紫金矿业。
高股息的：招商银行、中国移动、中远海控、格力电器、江中药业、苏泊尔。

另外关注：特变电工、世纪华通。

梳理当前持仓

洛阳钼业丨中金黄金丨白银LOF套利丨换仓

2025年投资总结及2026年投资展望

紫金矿业丨盐湖股份丨白银LOF套利

洛阳钼业丨中国神华丨云铝股份

本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

洛阳经济最强区优质政信投资项目【偃师区】

郑州市第一二二中学美食播报【2026.1.19——1.23】

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000876s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=i460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.002012s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000637s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000630s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001283s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000546s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001499s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 464116 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000940s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1772580906 WHERE `id` = 464116 [ RunTime:0.004328s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000726s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001199s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 464116 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000975s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008218s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001754s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001859s ]
0.116655s